Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Kevin Robledo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5′6″
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy StephensNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Kevin RobledoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.37
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensKevin Robledo
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (7%)
Submission
3 (50%)
8 (28%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jeremy Stephens and Kevin Robledo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1559), separated by just 5 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Robledo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.