Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Kyle Bradley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record20-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Kyle BradleyNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
1.99
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.65
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
62%
Takedown defense
40%
0.37
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensKyle Bradley
15502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
2 (7%)
Submission
7 (35%)
8 (28%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens58%
Kyle Bradley 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 58% favorite over Kyle Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Bradley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1553), separated by just 2 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bradley 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.