Jeremy Stephens vs Melvin Guillard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMATeamGenesis Training Center
What's at stake
Jeremy Stephens is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Melvin Guillard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1562
If they lose-13→ 1538
If they win+13→ 1534
If they lose-11→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensMelvin Guillard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Stephens62%
Melvin Guillard 38%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 62% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jeremy Stephens holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1551 to 1521, a 30-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.