Jeremy Stephens vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
Sam Stout is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1564
If they lose-11→ 1540
If they win+11→ 1605
If they lose-13→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jeremy Stephens and Sam Stout within a point of even.
Sam Stout holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1551, a 43-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.