Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Vladimír Lengál

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record9-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamValetudo RK Znojmo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy StephensNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Vladimír LengálNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.37
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensVladimír Lengál
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
9 (100%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens68%
Vladimír Lengál 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 68% favorite over Vladimír Lengál in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1553), separated by just 1 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Vladimír Lengál 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.