Jeremy Stephens vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-8→ 1543
If they win+8→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yves Edwards60%
Jeremy Stephens 40%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 60% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1551, a 135-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.