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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
us

Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremy StephensNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-8→ 1545
Yves EdwardsNow 1685
If they win+8→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
41%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
59%
Strike defense
67%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.76
38%
Takedown accuracy
54%
62%
Takedown defense
69%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensYves Edwards
15501600165017001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
2 (7%)
Submission
16 (38%)
8 (28%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Yves Edwards52%
Jeremy Stephens 48%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 52% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1553, a 132-point edge.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.