Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Stephens vs Zabit Magomedsharipov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-23-0Record18-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alliance MMATeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Zabit Magomedsharipov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+19→ 1570
If they lose-5→ 1546
Zabit MagomedsharipovNow 1770
If they win+7→ 1777
If they lose-25→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.15
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
59%
Strike defense
65%
1.11
Takedown avg.
5.22
38%
Takedown accuracy
56%
62%
Takedown defense
78%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Jeremy StephensZabit Magomedsharipov
16001700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (66%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
2 (7%)
Submission
7 (39%)
8 (28%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zabit Magomedsharipov92%
Jeremy Stephens 8%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Zabit Magomedsharipov a 92% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Zabit Magomedsharipov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1551, a 219-point edge.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Zabit Magomedsharipov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Zabit Magomedsharipov 72%.

Jeremy Stephens and Zabit Magomedsharipov share 1 common opponent: Calvin Kattar.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2020
Calvin Kattar
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019