Jeremy Umphries vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record6-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach72"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy UmphriesJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan59%
Jeremy Umphries 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 59% favorite over Jeremy Umphries in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Umphries's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1531), separated by just 3 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Umphries finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.