Jeremy Wallace vs Ryan Hickey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Kapeller's Fight TeamTeamPathway Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Ryan Hickey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Wallace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1453
If they lose-14→ 1421
If they win+22→ 1493
If they lose-26→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy WallaceRyan Hickey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Hickey70%
Jeremy Wallace 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 70% favorite over Jeremy Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ryan Hickey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1435, a 36-point edge.
Jeremy Wallace enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Wallace finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.