Jermaine Andre vs Lance Gibson Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record10-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Lance Gibson Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jermaine Andre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1610
If they lose-13→ 1578
If they win+13→ 1666
If they lose-19→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jermaine AndreLance Gibson Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Gibson Jr.75%
Jermaine Andre 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Gibson Jr. a 75% favorite over Jermaine Andre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Lance Gibson Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1591, a 62-point edge.
Jermaine Andre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lance Gibson Jr. 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.