Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerome Rivera vs Sahil Shakirov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
41,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Destroya MMATeamFighter Gorec 86

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerome RiveraNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Sahil ShakirovNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jerome RiveraSahil Shakirov
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sahil Shakirov60%
Jerome Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sahil Shakirov a 60% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerome Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1555), separated by just 3 points.

Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jerome Rivera finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sahil Shakirov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.