Jerome Rivera vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'4"
41,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Destroya MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Zhalgas Zhumagulov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jerome Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1546
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-20→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zhalgas Zhumagulov70%
Jerome Rivera 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Zhalgas Zhumagulov a 70% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Zhalgas Zhumagulov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1558, a 81-point edge.
Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jerome Rivera finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.