Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerrod Sanders vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
72,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerrod SandersNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Paulo PortilloNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
65%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
2.20
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jerrod SandersPaulo Portillo
165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (38%)
Submission
11 (65%)
8 (50%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Paulo Portillo63%
Jerrod Sanders 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Portillo a 63% favorite over Jerrod Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerrod Sanders's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Jerrod Sanders finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.