Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerry Bohlander vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
199 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's DenTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerry BohlanderNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jerry BohlanderMarcin Prachnio
16001650200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
10 (91%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (9%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jerry Bohlander53%
Marcin Prachnio 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jerry Bohlander a 53% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1611), separated by just 8 points.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jerry Bohlander finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.