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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jess Bouscal vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
us

Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReachTBD
154 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jess BouscalNow 1508
If they win+24→ 1532
If they lose-24→ 1484
Melvin GuillardNow 1509
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
Not available
Strike defense
66%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
64%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Jess BouscalMelvin Guillard
1500201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Melvin Guillard55%
Jess Bouscal 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melvin Guillard a 55% favorite over Jess Bouscal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1509), separated by just 1 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Jess Bouscal finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.