Jessamyn Duke vs Leslie Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-5-0Record12-9-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach66,0"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
UWF USATeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Leslie Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+32→ 1494
If they lose-16→ 1446
If they win+10→ 1598
If they lose-22→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessamyn DukeLeslie Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leslie Smith60%
Jessamyn Duke 40%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Leslie Smith a 60% favorite over Jessamyn Duke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Leslie Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1462, a 126-point edge.
Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jessamyn Duke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Leslie Smith 42%.
Jessamyn Duke and Leslie Smith share 1 common opponent: Irene Aldana.
Jessamyn Duke carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.