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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessamyn Duke vs Peggy Morgan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Peggy Morgan
us

Peggy Morgan

“The Daywalker”

4-4-0FeatherweightIFC

1493Average

Tale of the tape

3-5-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73,0"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
UWF USATeamTriumph MMA

What's at stake

Peggy Morgan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessamyn DukeNow 1462
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440
Peggy MorganNow 1493
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-26→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.83
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
53%
Strike accuracy
23%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.20
57%
Strike defense
34%
1.27
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1.90
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessamyn DukePeggy Morgan
1450150015501600201420152016

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessamyn Duke58%
Peggy Morgan 42%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessamyn Duke a 58% favorite over Peggy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Peggy Morgan's way (46%).

Peggy Morgan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1462, a 31-point edge.

Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jessamyn Duke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Peggy Morgan 0%.

Jessamyn Duke and Peggy Morgan share 1 common opponent: Irene Aldana.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO (punches) · 2016
Irene Aldana
LossSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2014