Jesse Butler vs Kevin Natividad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
40,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesse ButlerKevin Natividad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Natividad56%
Jesse Butler 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 56% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1597), separated by just 2 points.
Jesse Butler enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.