Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Butler vs Olivier Poisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Fortis MMATeamH2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse ButlerNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Olivier PoissonNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesse ButlerOlivier Poisson
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (67%)
Submission
4 (67%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Olivier Poisson71%
Jesse Butler 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Poisson a 71% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Jesse Butler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Poisson 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.