Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Butler vs Osimkhon Rakhmonov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
40,0"Reach65.4"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Fortis MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse ButlerNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Osimkhon RakhmonovNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesse ButlerOsimkhon Rakhmonov
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
8 (67%)
Submission
3 (18%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Osimkhon Rakhmonov83%
Jesse Butler 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Osimkhon Rakhmonov a 83% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Butler's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.

Jesse Butler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Osimkhon Rakhmonov 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.