Jesse Forbes vs Nick Catone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Jesse Forbes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nick Catone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1630
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse ForbesNick Catone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Forbes61%
Nick Catone 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Forbes a 61% favorite over Nick Catone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jesse Forbes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1619, a 28-point edge.
Jesse Forbes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jesse Forbes finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nick Catone 60%.
Jesse Forbes and Nick Catone share 1 common opponent: Chris Camozzi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.