Jesse Forbes vs Robert Bryczek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesse ForbesRobert Bryczek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Bryczek61%
Jesse Forbes 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Bryczek a 61% favorite over Jesse Forbes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Forbes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.
Jesse Forbes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Robert Bryczek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Forbes finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.