Jesse Lennox vs Rick Story
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record21-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rick Story is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jesse Lennox carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1632
If they win+9→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse LennoxRick Story
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Story78%
Jesse Lennox 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Story a 78% favorite over Jesse Lennox in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Rick Story holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1644, a 100-point edge.
Jesse Lennox enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Lennox finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rick Story 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.