Jesse Moreng vs Shunta Nomura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesse MorengShunta Nomura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shunta Nomura63%
Jesse Moreng 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shunta Nomura a 63% favorite over Jesse Moreng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Moreng's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.
Jesse Moreng finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shunta Nomura 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.