Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Murray vs Norbert Pietrzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1550 Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0 Record 3-1-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'3" Height 6'3"
78" Reach -
206 lbs Weight 206 lbs
Strongstyle MMA Team Pro-Core HQ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse MurrayNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Norbert PietrzakNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.72
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesse Murray Norbert Pietrzak
1550 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Pietrzak61%
Jesse Murray39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 61% favorite over Jesse Murray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1553), separated by just 3 points.

Jesse Murray finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.