Jesse Ronson vs Joaquim Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-12-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jesse Ronson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1682
If they lose-13→ 1658
If they win+17→ 1667
If they lose-15→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquim Silva57%
Jesse Ronson 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 57% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Ronson's way (47%).
Jesse Ronson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1650, a 21-point edge.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Joaquim Silva 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.