Jesse Ronson vs Kevin Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-12-0Record20-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Kevin Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jesse Ronson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1684
If they lose-11→ 1660
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-13→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse RonsonKevin Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Lee75%
Jesse Ronson 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Lee a 75% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Kevin Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1671, a 40-point edge.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.
Kevin Lee carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.