Jesse Ronson vs Michel Prazeres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-12-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamCoalizao Fight Team
What's at stake
Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jesse Ronson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-9→ 1662
If they win+9→ 1764
If they lose-15→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse RonsonMichel Prazeres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Prazeres58%
Jesse Ronson 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 58% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1671, a 84-point edge.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.