Jesse Ronson vs Nicolas Dalby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-12-0Record24-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
Nicolas Dalby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jesse Ronson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1685
If they lose-10→ 1661
If they win+10→ 1739
If they lose-14→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse RonsonNicolas Dalby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolas Dalby72%
Jesse Ronson 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Dalby a 72% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Nicolas Dalby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1671, a 58-point edge.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.
Nicolas Dalby carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.