Jesse Ronson vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-12-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamGalpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse RonsonSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Sanches70%
Jesse Ronson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Sanches a 70% favorite over Jesse Ronson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1676), separated by just 2 points.
Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jesse Ronson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.