Jesse Stirn vs Kevin Rosas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ground Control AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesse StirnKevin Rosas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Rosas57%
Jesse Stirn 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Rosas a 57% favorite over Jesse Stirn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.
Jesse Stirn enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jesse Stirn finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Rosas 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.