Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Stirn vs Ignacio Campos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Stirn
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Jesse Stirn

“Relentless”

16-6-0FeatherweightPFL

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach68"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ground Control AcademyTeamThe Black Panther Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse StirnNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Ignacio CamposNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesse StirnIgnacio Campos
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
6 (38%)
Submission
3 (38%)
9 (56%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ignacio Campos59%
Jesse Stirn 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Campos a 59% favorite over Jesse Stirn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Jesse Stirn enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Ignacio Campos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jesse Stirn finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Ignacio Campos 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.