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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Stirn vs Otari Tanzilovi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Stirn
us

Jesse Stirn

“Relentless”

16-6-0FeatherweightPFL

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight138 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse StirnNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Otari TanziloviNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
Not available
Strike accuracy
69%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jesse StirnOtari Tanzilovi
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
6 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (56%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Otari Tanzilovi64%
Jesse Stirn 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Otari Tanzilovi a 64% favorite over Jesse Stirn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Jesse Stirn enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jesse Stirn finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Otari Tanzilovi 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.