Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Strader vs Lun Qiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lun Qiu
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Lun Qiu

“Tibetan Knight”

19-11-0BantamweightJCK

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record19-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach37,0"
135 lbsWeight132 lbs
Kemo's Fight FactoryTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesse StraderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Lun QiuNow 1576
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
52%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
47%
Strike defense
67%
3.87
Takedown avg.
0.67
57%
Takedown accuracy
18%
100%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jesse StraderLun Qiu
15501600202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (21%)
1 (14%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Lun Qiu55%
Jesse Strader 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lun Qiu a 55% favorite over Jesse Strader in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Strader's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.

Lun Qiu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesse Strader finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Lun Qiu 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.