Jessica Aguilar vs Ming Shi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record17-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63,0"Reach60"
107 lbsWeight116 lbs
Liborio ExperienceTeamChina Catch Wrestling
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica AguilarMing Shi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ming Shi70%
Jessica Aguilar 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ming Shi a 70% favorite over Jessica Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessica Aguilar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.
Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Aguilar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ming Shi 47%.
Jessica Aguilar carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.