Jessica Aguilar vs Moeri Suda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
63,0"Reach-
107 lbsWeight108 lbs
Liborio ExperienceTeamScorpion Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica AguilarMoeri Suda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Moeri Suda70%
Jessica Aguilar 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Moeri Suda a 70% favorite over Jessica Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessica Aguilar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.
Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Aguilar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Moeri Suda 67%.
Jessica Aguilar and Moeri Suda share 1 common opponent: Ayaka Hamasaki.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
Loss Decision · 2022
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2025