Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Eye vs Leslie Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leslie Smith
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Leslie Smith

“The Peacemaker”

12-9-1FeatherweightBFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record12-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach66,0"
126 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessica EyeNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Leslie SmithNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
7.56
37%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.41
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0
41%
Takedown accuracy
0%
57%
Takedown defense
63%
0.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessica EyeLeslie Smith
16001650202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (73%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessica Eye53%
Leslie Smith 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessica Eye a 53% favorite over Leslie Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leslie Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jessica Eye finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Leslie Smith 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.