Jessica Eye vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record14-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach66"
126 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Sara McMann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jessica Eye carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1602
If they lose-15→ 1570
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jessica EyeSara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jessica Eye62%
Sara McMann 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Jessica Eye a 62% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sara McMann's way (46%).
Sara McMann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1585, a 29-point edge.
Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Eye finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.