Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Eye vs Sarah Kaufman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record22-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach67.00
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

Sarah Kaufman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jessica Eye carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessica EyeNow 1586
If they win+17→ 1603
If they lose-15→ 1571
Sarah KaufmanNow 1608
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
6.65
37%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
56%
Strike defense
63%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0.38
41%
Takedown accuracy
57%
57%
Takedown defense
81%
0.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessica EyeSarah Kaufman
1600165020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (9%)
11 (73%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Sarah Kaufman59%
Jessica Eye 41%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Sarah Kaufman a 59% favorite over Jessica Eye in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Sarah Kaufman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1586, a 22-point edge.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jessica Eye finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Kaufman 59%.

Jessica Eye and Sarah Kaufman share 2 common opponents: Valentina Shevchenko and Jessica-Rose Clark.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2018
Jessica-Rose Clark
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2017
LossKO (head kick) · 2019
Valentina Shevchenko
LossDEC · 2015