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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Penne vs Natalie Salcedo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record4-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'0"
67"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWarrior Fitness Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessica PenneNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Natalie SalcedoNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
33%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
1.29
Takedown avg.
Not available
19%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
36%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.49
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jessica PenneNatalie Salcedo
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (57%)
Submission
3 (75%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jessica Penne and Natalie Salcedo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1547), separated by just 1 points.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Natalie Salcedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Natalie Salcedo 75%.

Jessica Penne carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.