Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Penne vs Natalie Salcedo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record4-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'0"
67"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWarrior Fitness Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessica PenneNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Natalie SalcedoNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.29
Takedown avg.
TBD
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
36%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jessica PenneNatalie Salcedo
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (57%)
Submission
3 (75%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Natalie Salcedo85%
Jessica Penne 15%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Natalie Salcedo a 85% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Natalie Salcedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Natalie Salcedo 75%.

Jessica Penne carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.