Jessica Rakoczy vs Julianna Peña
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-5-0Record12-6-0
StrawweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
115 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamSikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Julianna Peña is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jessica Rakoczy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+37→ 1466
If they lose-11→ 1418
If they win+8→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jessica RakoczyJulianna Peña
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julianna Peña81%
Jessica Rakoczy 19%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Julianna Peña a 81% favorite over Jessica Rakoczy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Julianna Peña holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1429, a 204-point edge.
Jessica Rakoczy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julianna Peña 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.