Jessica-Rose Clark vs Paige VanZant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record8-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
64"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamGracie Barra Portland
What's at stake
Paige VanZant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jessica-Rose Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1560
If they lose-15→ 1528
If they win+15→ 1589
If they lose-17→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica-Rose ClarkPaige VanZant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paige VanZant72%
Jessica-Rose Clark 28%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Paige VanZant a 72% favorite over Jessica-Rose Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Paige VanZant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1574 to 1543, a 31-point edge.
Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessica-Rose Clark finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Paige VanZant 63%.
Jessica-Rose Clark and Paige VanZant share 1 common opponent: Bec Rawlings.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.