Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessie Rosas vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record17-9-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight154 lbs
MMA LabTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessie RosasNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Joshua WeemsNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
65%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.77
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessie RosasJoshua Weems
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
4 (57%)
Submission
9 (53%)
1 (14%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems68%
Jessie Rosas 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 68% favorite over Jessie Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Jessie Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.