Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessie Rosas vs Miles Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record15-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jessie Rosas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessie RosasNow 1628
If they win+29→ 1657
If they lose-19→ 1609
Miles JohnsNow 1702
If they win+13→ 1715
If they lose-19→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
2%
TBD
Takedown defense
78%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessie RosasMiles Johns
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (13%)
1 (14%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Miles Johns63%
Jessie Rosas 37%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 63% favorite over Jessie Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1628, a 74-point edge.

Jessie Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jessie Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.