Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessie Rosas vs Miles Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamMarathon MMA· 1665 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jessie Rosas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessie RosasNow 1599
If they win+21→ 1620
If they lose-11→ 1588
Miles JohnsNow 1707
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-21→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
Not available
Strike defense
66%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.22
Not available
Takedown accuracy
2%
Not available
Takedown defense
78%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessie RosasMiles Johns
160016501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (13%)
1 (14%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Miles Johns85%
Jessie Rosas 15%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 85% favorite over Jessie Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1599, a 108-point edge.

Jessie Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.

Jessie Rosas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.