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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessie Rosas vs Renan Barão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Renan Barão
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Renan Barão

“The Baron”

34-10-0BantamweightGFL

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessie RosasNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Renan BarãoNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.49
Not available
Takedown accuracy
42%
Not available
Takedown defense
91%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Jessie RosasRenan Barão
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
8 (24%)
4 (57%)
Submission
15 (44%)
1 (14%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jessie Rosas and Renan Barão within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Jessie Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.

Renan Barão carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.