Jessie Rosas vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record20-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA LabTeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jessie RosasTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Brown60%
Jessie Rosas 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 60% favorite over Jessie Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Jessie Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
TJ Brown carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.