Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessin Ayari vs Jimmy Wallhead

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jessin Ayari
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Jessin Ayari

“Abacus”

16-6-0LightweightINNFERNO

1651Good

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record33-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,5"Reach40.50
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hammers TeamTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Jessin Ayari is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jimmy Wallhead carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessin AyariNow 1651
If they win+9→ 1660
If they lose-23→ 1628
Jimmy WallheadNow 1476
If they win+35→ 1511
If they lose-13→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
38%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.65
59%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jessin AyariJimmy Wallhead
1500155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
15 (45%)
8 (50%)
Submission
8 (24%)
5 (31%)
Decision
10 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessin Ayari81%
Jimmy Wallhead 19%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessin Ayari a 81% favorite over Jimmy Wallhead in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Jessin Ayari holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1476, a 175-point edge.

Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jimmy Wallhead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jessin Ayari finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Wallhead 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.