Jessin Ayari vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Jessin Ayari is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Stevie Ray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-17→ 1634
If they win+17→ 1648
If they lose-15→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jessin AyariStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stevie Ray67%
Jessin Ayari 33%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 67% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessin Ayari's way (47%).
Jessin Ayari holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1631, a 20-point edge.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessin Ayari finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.