Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessin Ayari vs Thibault Gouti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jessin Ayari
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Jessin Ayari

“Abacus”

16-6-0LightweightINNFERNO

1651Good

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73,5"Reach41,5"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Hammers TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jessin AyariNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Thibault GoutiNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.64
59%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.23
0%
Takedown accuracy
80%
50%
Takedown defense
83%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jessin AyariThibault Gouti
16502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
8 (50%)
Submission
6 (35%)
5 (31%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessin Ayari66%
Thibault Gouti 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessin Ayari a 66% favorite over Thibault Gouti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.

Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jessin Ayari finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Thibault Gouti 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.