Jesus Aguilar vs Jiniushiyue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record17-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'8"
62"Reach68"
128 lbsWeight126 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesus AguilarJiniushiyue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jiniushiyue53%
Jesus Aguilar 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jiniushiyue a 53% favorite over Jesus Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesus Aguilar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1682), separated by just 3 points.
Jiniushiyue enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jesus Aguilar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jiniushiyue 47%.
Jiniushiyue carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.